Conf = Coast to Coast State = MD
Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim NestorGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.2470474 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Stevenson MAC Commonwea (12- 7, 88.3) 20- 7 217 A Catholic Landmark (13- 8, 89.8) 14- 1 225 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (18- 3, 95.5) 14-11 302 A Washington College Centennial (12- 7, 89.5) 19- 5 310 H Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 3, 97.7) 7-13 313 H Gettysburg Centennial (17- 3, 95.7) 16- 7 316 H Roanoke Old Dominion (17- 4, 92.7) 16- 4 318 N William Smith Liberty Leagu (18- 3, 94.1) 7-10 323 A Chicago CCIW (13- 5, 89.1) 19-11 327 A Messiah MAC Commonwea ( 8-10, 88.0) 15- 4 330 H York MAC Commonwea (14- 7, 92.9) 9- 6 407 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (18- 3, 95.7) 15-16 413 A TCNJ NJAC (14- 5, 91.6) 10- 9 417 H St Marys (MD) UnitedEast (12- 7, 89.2) 15- 7 424 A Mary Washington Coast to Coas ( 5-13, 87.8) 19- 9 427 H Christopher Newport Coast to Coas (14- 6, 91.8) 18-11 504 H Christopher Newport Coast to Coas (14- 6, 91.8) 15- 4 512 H Cabrini Atlantic East (15- 5, 87.9) 23- 6 518 H Babson NEWMAC (17- 2, 93.5)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Stevenson 20- 7 13 7 0.00 217 A Catholic 14- 1 13 5 1.19 225 H Washington & Lee 14-11 3 1 1.63 302 A Washington College 19- 5 14 6 0.84 310 H Wesleyan 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.16 313 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 1 ++ 5.83 316 H Roanoke 16- 4 12 4 + 2.84 318 N William Smith 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.15 323 A Chicago 19-11 8 6 0.43 327 A Messiah 15- 4 11 7 0.00 330 H York 9- 6 3 3 -0.89 407 H Franklin & Marshall 15-16 -1 1 - -2.19 413 A TCNJ 10- 9 1 4 - -3.06 417 H St Marys (MD) 15- 7 8 7 0.00 424 A Mary Washington 19- 9 10 7 0.00 427 H Christopher Newport 18-11 7 5 1.92 504 H Christopher Newport 15- 4 11 5 1.92 512 H Cabrini 23- 6 17 8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Wesleyan 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.16 318 N William Smith 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.15 407 H Franklin & Marshall 15-16 -1 1 - -2.19 413 A TCNJ 10- 9 1 4 - -3.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 1 ++ 5.83 316 H Roanoke 16- 4 12 4 + 2.84
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.25 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.50 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 9 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7697 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .7328 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 9.5 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 7 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 6 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 115. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 11.7